Publications
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Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty Katriona Shea, Rebecca Bouchering, William J. M. Probert, Michael C. Runge, Ricardo Aguas, Sean Cavany, Lisa White, et al Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (April 2023) https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2207537120 |
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Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on the Control of COVID-19 in Iran: A Mathematical Modelling Study Mehran Nakhaeizadeh, Sana Eybpoosh, Yunes Jahani, Milad Ahmadi Gohari, Ali Akbar Haghdoost, Lisa J White, Hamid Sharifi International Journal of Health and Policy Management (August 2022) https://doi.org/10.34172/ijhpm.2021.48 |
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Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold M. Gabriela, M. Gomes, Marcelo U. Ferreira, Rodrigo M. Corder, Jessica G. King, Caetano Souto-Maior, Carlos Penha-Gonçalves, Guilherme Gonçalves, Maria Chikina, Wesley Pegden, Ricardo Aguas Journal of Theoretical Biology (May 2022) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111063 |
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Heterologous vaccination interventions to reduce pandemic morbidity and mortality: Modeling the US winter 2020 COVID-19 wave Nathaniel Hupert, Daniela Marín-Hernández, Bo Gao, Ricardo Águas, and Douglas F. Nixon Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (December 2021) https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2025448119 |
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Potential global impacts of alternative dosing regimen and rollout options for the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine Ricardo Águas, Anouska Bharath, Lisa J. White, Bo Gao, Andrew J. Pollard, Merryn Voysey, Rima Shretta Nature Communications (November 2021) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26449-8 |
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Levels of SARS-CoV-2 population exposure are considerably higher than suggested by seroprevalence surveys Siyu Chen, Jennifer A. Flegg, Lisa J. White, Ricardo Aguas PLOS Computational Biology (September 2021) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009436 |
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New COVID-19 Resurgence in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region Pierre Nabeth, Mahmoud Hassan, Keyrellous Adib, Abdinasir Abubakar, Richard Brennan The Lancet (March 2021) https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00679-6 |
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A participatory modelling approach for investigating the spread of COVID-19 in countries of the Eastern Mediterranean Region to support public health decision-making Keyrellous Adib, Penelope A. Hancock, Aysel Rahimli, Bridget Mugisa, Fayez Abdulrazeq, Noha Farag, Ricardo Aguas, Lisa White, Rana Hajjeh, Lubna Al Ariqi, Pierre Nabeth BMJ Global Health (March 2021) https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2021-005207 |
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Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19 Ricardo Águas, Adam Mahdi, Rima Shretta, Peter Horby, Martin Landray, Lisa White , The CoMo Consortium Nature Communications (February 2021) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21134-2 |
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Can Existing Unrelated Vaccines Boost a COVID-19 Vaccine Prime? Nathaniel Hupert, Daniela Marín-Hernandez, Douglas F. Nixon eClinicalMedicine Commentary (February 2021) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100758 |
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Anticipated Reduction in COVID-19 Mortality due to Population-wide BCG vaccination: Evidence from Germany Daniela Marin-Hernandez, Douglas F. Nixon, Nathaniel Hupert Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, Letter (February 2021) https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2021.1872344 |
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Evaluating the Impact of Intervention Strategies on the First Wave and Predicting the Second Wave of COVID-19 in Thailand: A Mathematical Modelling Study Wiriya Mahikul, Palang Chotsiri, Kritchavat Ploddi, Wirichada Pan-ngum Biology (January 2021) https://doi.org/10.3390/biology10020080 |
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The Immunologists’ Guide to Pandemic Preparedness Daniela Marín-Hernández, Nathaniel Hupert, Douglas F Nixon Trends in Immunology (December 2020) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.it.2020.12.0036 |
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Modelling the COVID-19 Pandemic in Context: An International Participatory Approach Ricardo Águas, Lisa White, Nathaniel Hupert, Rima Shretta, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Olivier Celhay, Ainura Moldokmatova, Fatima Arifi, Ali Mirzazadeh, Hamid Sharifi, Keyrellous Adib, Mohammad Nadir Sahak, Caroline Franco, Renato Coutinho, CoMo Consortium BMJ Global Health (December 2020) https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003126 |
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Perspectives on public health interventions in the management of the COVID-19 pandemic in Thailand Wirichada Pan-ngum, Tassawan Poomchaichote, Pimnara Peerawaranun, Natinee Kulpijit, Anne Osterrieder, Naomi Waithira, Mavuto Mukaka, Bhensri Naemiratch, Rita Chanviriyavuth, Supa-at Asarath, Supanat Ruangkajorn, Noppadon Kannika, Phaik Yeong Cheah Wellcome Open Research (October 2020) https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16293.1 |
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COVID-19 Pandemic Modelling in Context: Uniting People and Technology across Nations Ricardo Aguas, Nathaniel Hupert, Rima Shretta, Olivier Celhay, Caroline Franco, Renato Coutinho, Ainura Moldokmatova, Fatima Arifi, Mohammed Nadir Sahak, Ali Mirzazadeh, Hamid Sharifi, Keyrellous Adib, Wirichada Pan-ngum, Lisa J. White, and The CoMo Consortium Preprint (July 2020) https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342747645_COVID-19_Pandemic_Modelling_in_Context_Uniting_People_and_Technology_Across_Nations |
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Comparing the Potential Effectiveness of Interventions against Coronavirus 2019 Outbreak in the Lao PDR: A Mathematical Modelling Approach Phetsavanh Chanthavilay, Mick Soukavong, Yun Nandar Aung, Sai Thein Than Tun, Lisa J. White, Mayfong Mayxay Lao Medical Journal (2020, 11(11):3-7) https://pesquisa.bvsalud.org/portal/resource/pt/wpr-829289?lang=en |
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Herd Immunity Thresholds for SARS-CoV-2 Estimated from Unfolding Epidemics Ricardo Aguas, Rodrigo M. Corder, Jessica G. King, Guilherme Goncalves, Marcelo Ferreira, Gabriela Gomes Preprint (July 2020) https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762 |
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Modelling the Potential Impact of Various Interventions on the COVID-19 Epidemic in the Kyrgyz Republic A. Moldokmatova, A. Dooronbekova, Ch. Zhumalieva, A. Estebesova, A. Mukambetov, A. Kubatova, Sh. Ibragimov, T.Abdyldaev, P. Ariana, R. Águas, R. Shretta, L. White (Policy Notes) (April 2020) https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/12/11/2020.12.10.20247247/DC2/embed/media-2.pdf?download=true |
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Modelling the potential impact of various interventions on the COVID-19 epidemic in the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires, Argentina N. Feune de Colombi; M. Merello; M. Lasa; S. Chen; A. Moldomatova; Luzia Freitas; P. Ariana; L. White (Policy Brief) (October 2020) https://s34886.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Argentina-Report-Final-policy-brief.pdf |
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Covid is not going away, so will school remain closed? Syed Abdul Hamid Prothomalo English (March 2021) https://en.prothomalo.com/opinion/op-ed/covid-is-not-going-away-so-will-school-remain-closed |
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Vaccinating the World against COVID-19: Getting the Delivery Right is the Greatest Challenge Rima Shretta, Nathaniel Hupert, Patick Osewe, Lisa J White BMJ Global Health (Editorial) (March 2021) https://gh.bmj.com/content/6/3/e005273 |
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Operations Research Advice for Covid-19 Vaccination Planners: Think Bigger, Move Faster. Nathaniel Hupert, Michael G. Klein, and John A. (“Jack”) Muckstadt STAT News (March 2021) https://www.statnews.com/2021/03/21/operations-research-vaccination-use-bigger-sites-give-available-dose-every-day/ |
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The economic impact of COVID-19 Rima Shretta Coronavirus Research (2020), Our Research, University of Oxford (April 2020) https://www.research.ox.ac.uk/article/2020-04-07-the-economic-impact-of-covid-19 |
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Behind the paper: “Potential health and economic impacts of dexamethasone treatment for patients with COVID-19” Rima Shretta Behind the Paper, Springer Nature Research Communities (February 2021) https://communities.springernature.com/posts/behind-the-paper-potential-health-and-economic-impacts-of-dexamethasone-treatment-for-patients-with-covid-19 |
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The COVID-19 Vaccine: Do We Know Enough to End the Pandemic? Rima Shretta, Kalipso Chalkidou, Ricardo Águas, Hiral Anil Shah, Francis Ruiz and Lisa J. White CGD Notes, Center for Global Development (December 2020) https://www.cgdev.org/publication/covid-19-vaccine-do-we-know-enough-end-pandemic |
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The COVID-19 Multi-model Comparison Collaboration Releases Its First Two Outputs Kalipso Chalkidou, Marelize Gorgens, Raymond Hutubessy, Yot Teerawattananon, Y-Ling Chi, Adrian Gheorghe and David Wilson CGD Notes, Center for Global Development (August 2020) https://www.cgdev.org/blog/covid-19-multi-model-comparison-collaboration-releases-its-first-two-outputs |
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Safeguarding the malaria endgame in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic Rima Shretta Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health (April 2020) https://www.tropicalmedicine.ox.ac.uk/news/safeguarding-the-malaria-endgame-in-the-midst-of-the-covid-19-pandemic |